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Daniel Jones Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Daniel Jones Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+510/-540).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -475 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -540.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Daniel Jones is expected by the projections to have the 7th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.2.

The Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Daniel Jones's throwing precision has improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.4% to 67.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to be the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.4% red zone run rate.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).

Daniel Jones isn't afraid to take off running near the goal line, accounting for 12.9% of his team's red zone carries this year (79th percentile when it comes to QBs).

This year, the fierce Texans defense has given up a measly 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.

More Daniel Jones Player Props

Daniel Jones TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

Daniel Jones Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13