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Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 49.4% red zone run rate.The projections expect this game to have the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.Comprising 13.6% of his team's red zone carries this year (81st percentile among QBs), Daniel Jones's mobility marks him as a serious threat as a ball-carrier near the goal line.This year, the strong Chiefs defense has allowed a feeble 0.90 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
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