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The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 4th-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 48.3% red zone run rate.Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.Making up 14.6% of his team's red zone carries this year (80th percentile among quarterbacks), Daniel Jones's mobility makes him a serious threat as a ball-carrier near the goal line.This year, the daunting Falcons defense has given up a paltry 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.
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