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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • The Steelers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.7 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts grades out as the best in the league this year.
  • Daniel Jones's passing precision has gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 63.4% to 69.1%.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 6th-highest level in football versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (76.0% Adjusted Completion%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Colts being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Colts to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 50.8% red zone pass rate.
  • The Colts have run the 9th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.2 plays per game.

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