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Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

The Indianapolis offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Daniel Jones's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.4% to 69.7%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Colts to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 49.5% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in the league vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year (64.1% Adjusted Completion%).

The Chargers defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest touchdowns through the air in football: 0.83 per game this year.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

More Daniel Jones Player Props

Daniel Jones TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7