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Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Colts to run the 9th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 43.4 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: most in football.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

Daniel Jones's passing precision has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.4% to 69.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the least pass-oriented team in football in the red zone (49.0% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Colts.

In this week's contest, Daniel Jones is forecasted by our trusted projection set to total the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 33.1.

This year, the formidable Arizona Cardinals defense has conceded a paltry 1.00 passing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 4th-best rate in the NFL.

More Daniel Jones Player Props

Daniel Jones TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 6

Indianapolis Colts vs Arizona Cardinals

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6