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The Colts are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a running game script.Our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 50.0% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-heavy offense in the league near the end zone (50.1% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Colts.The Indianapolis Colts have played in the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack efficiency when facing windier weather this week.The model projects Daniel Jones to throw 30.5 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
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