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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • The Colts offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • This year, the anemic Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been gouged for a colossal 1.83 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 4th-least pass-focused offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 51.2% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.
  • This year, the strong Jaguars defense has surrendered a measly 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-lowest rate in the league.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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