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Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+156/-201).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -189 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -201.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.

Daniel Jones's 68.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a significant boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 63.4% figure.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the highest level in the league vs. the Chiefs defense this year (77.4% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league in the red zone (50.9% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Indianapolis Colts.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

This year, the strong Chiefs defense has allowed a feeble 0.90 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-best rate in the league.

As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the league.

More Daniel Jones Player Props

Daniel Jones TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 12