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Daniel Jones
NFL · Player Props
Daniel Jones
QB · New York Giants
TD Passes
Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 8, 2023 7:26 PM UTC
NFL Props Daniel Jones TD Passes

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+158/-205).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -205.

Favors Over
  • The Giants are a huge 13-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The Giants have been the 10th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The leading projections forecast the New York Giants offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.
  • Our trusted projections expect Daniel Jones to attempt 35.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 9th-most among all quarterbacks.
Favors Under
  • The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Daniel Jones has been one of the worst touchdown passers in the league this year, averaging a terrible 0.50 per game while checking in at the 14th percentile.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the best in the league.
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