Daniel Jones TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

TD Passes

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+183/-235).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The New York Giants have run the 8th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 61.2 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.6 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
Daniel Jones has been among the most accurate passers in the NFL this year with an impressive 67.3% Completion%, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 53.4% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Giants to call the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 34.4 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
The New York Giants O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Daniel Jones has been among the bottom TD passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrible 0.60 per game while checking in at the 12th percentile.

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