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Daniel Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 40.4% run rate.

In this game, Daniel Jones is expected by our trusted projection set to accrue the 8th-most carries out of all QBs with 5.4.

The predictive model expects Daniel Jones to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this game (19.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 4.90 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.

Daniel Jones's 12.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season shows a noteable decline in his running talent over last season's 25.0 mark.

With a lousy tally of 3.9 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (12th percentile), Daniel Jones places among the bottom running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

The Chargers defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

More Daniel Jones Player Props

Daniel Jones Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7