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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-107/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Colts to run on 45.1% of their plays: the 7th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
  • This week, Daniel Jones is predicted by the model to total the 6th-most carries among all QBs with 6.3.
  • While Daniel Jones has received 15.2% of his offense's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Indianapolis's run game in this game at 21.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Daniel Jones has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (25.0).
  • Daniel Jones's running effectiveness has diminished this year, averaging just 3.40 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.32 figure last year.

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