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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Los Angeles Rams vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-109/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 4th-most run-focused team in football (41.8% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Indianapolis Colts.
  • The model projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 129.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Daniel Jones to earn 7.2 rush attempts this week, on average: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
  • While Daniel Jones has been responsible for 19.4% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Indianapolis's run game in this game at 25.4%.
  • With an excellent tally of 2.52 yards-after-contact (79th percentile), Daniel Jones has been among the top running quarterbacks in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may slide.
  • Daniel Jones's 15.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a material decrease in his running skills over last season's 25.0 mark.
  • Daniel Jones's 3.43 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season marks a noteworthy drop-off in his rushing skills over last season's 4.32 figure.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of DTs has been terrific since the start of last season, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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