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A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.The Colts rank as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.Daniel Jones has been a less important option in his offense's ground game this year (14.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (22.9%).Daniel Jones's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a substantial regression in his rushing proficiency over last season's 25.0 rate.
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