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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Daniel Jones to accrue 4.9 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Colts rank as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Daniel Jones has been a less important option in his offense's ground game this year (14.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (22.9%).
  • Daniel Jones's 14.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season signifies a substantial regression in his rushing proficiency over last season's 25.0 rate.

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