Daniel Jones Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+104/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 38.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the most run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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