Daniel Jones Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 26, 2022 11:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+321/-593).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +337 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +321.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 8th-most run-centric team in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 44.6% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Daniel Jones isn't afraid to run the ball himself near the end zone, accounting for 31.5% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone carries this year (86th percentile among QBs).
Daniel Jones has run for 0.15 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among quarterbacks (76th percentile).
The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles project as the worst collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
The New York Giants O-line profiles as the worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 6th-least TDs in the NFL (0.68 per game) vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their plays since the start of last season (least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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