Daniel Jones Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Rushing TD

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Daniel Jones Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+194/-287).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +198 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +194.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 5th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 49.3% red zone run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New York Giants have called the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack near the end zone this week (24.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.6% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in football this year at blocking for the run game.
The New York Giants have used motion in their offense on 26.6% of their play-calls since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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