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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Indianapolis Colts vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 228.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 224.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Colts are predicted by the predictive model to call 65.5 plays on offense in this game: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • With an exceptional record of 198.0 adjusted passing yards per game (76th percentile), Daniel Jones has been among the best quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
  • Daniel Jones's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 63.4% to 70.3%.
  • Daniel Jones's 8.20 adjusted yards-per-target this season represents a significant progression in his throwing efficiency over last season's 6.1% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Colts, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

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