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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Indianapolis Colts vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 203.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 203.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 203.5 @ -145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are forecasted by the projection model to run 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 9th-most on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game against the Broncos defense since the start of last season: 3rd-most in the league.
  • The Indianapolis offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
  • Opposing QBs have thrown for the 6th-most adjusted yards in the league (237.0 per game) against the Broncos defense since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to be the 7th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Daniel Jones is forecasted by the model to wind up with the 10th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 33.6.
  • With a lackluster 6.31 adjusted yards-per-target (11th percentile) since the start of last season, Daniel Jones ranks as one of the worst per-play passers in football.
  • The Broncos defense has been particularly weak when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Denver's unit has been very good since the start of last season, grading out as the best in football.

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