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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 217.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 228.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 217.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 8th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL has been the Colts.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: most in the NFL.
  • The Colts offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Daniel Jones rates as one of the best passers in the NFL this year, averaging an excellent 224.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 76th percentile.
  • Daniel Jones's 7.73 adjusted yards-per-target this season shows a remarkable improvement in his passing effectiveness over last season's 6.1% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.7 plays per game.
  • This year, the strong Jaguars defense has surrendered a measly 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 7th-lowest rate in the league.
  • This year, the tough Jacksonville Jaguars defense has given up the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing offenses: a feeble 6.9 yards.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Jacksonville's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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