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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 243.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 240.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 243.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • With a 63.4% rate of throwing the ball (adjusted for context) this year, the 8th-most pass-focused team in the NFL has been the Colts.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the best in the league this year.
  • With an exceptional rate of 230.0 adjusted passing yards per game (76th percentile), Daniel Jones has been as one of the best passers in football this year.
  • Daniel Jones's 68.0% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a significant boost in his passing accuracy over last season's 63.4% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.
  • Opposing QBs have passed for the 8th-fewest yards in the NFL (just 206.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been terrific this year, projecting as the best in the league.

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