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Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 243.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts rank as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

With an excellent rate of 208.0 adjusted passing yards per game (83rd percentile), Daniel Jones places as one of the top quarterbacks in the league this year.

Daniel Jones's 67.8% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a significant progression in his throwing precision over last season's 63.4% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.

This year, the imposing Falcons defense has conceded a puny 175.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the best in the league.

This year, the daunting Falcons defense has given up a paltry 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.

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Daniel Jones Passing YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10