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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 201.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 203.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 201.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.9 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
  • Daniel Jones's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 64.5% to 70.6%.
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has not been good when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 6.31 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
  • The New York Giants have used play action on 28.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (10th-most in the league), tricking the defense into thinking it's a run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.7 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to attempt 32.9 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.
  • The New York Giants O-line grades out as the worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the lowest level in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (64.2%).

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