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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-124/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Colts.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this week's game, Daniel Jones is expected by the projections to have the 7th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.2.
  • The Colts offensive line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • This year, the fierce Texans defense has given up a measly 65.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 4th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Houston Texans cornerbacks profile as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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