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Daniel Jones Completions
Player Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

Daniel Jones Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-117/+109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -131 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Colts rank as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 64.7% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect the Colts to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Daniel Jones's 67.8% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a significant progression in his throwing precision over last season's 63.4% rate.

The Atlanta Falcons cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Falcons, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 27.4 per game) this year.

This year, the daunting Falcons defense has given up a paltry 65.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-smallest rate in football.

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Daniel Jones CompletionsPlayer Prop Week 10

Indianapolis Colts vs Atlanta Falcons

Daniel Jones Completions
Player Prop Week 10