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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Colts to be the 10th-most run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 40.4% run rate.
  • In this game, Daniel Jones is expected by our trusted projection set to accrue the 8th-most carries out of all QBs with 5.4.
  • The predictive model expects Daniel Jones to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this game (19.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (13.5% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Indianapolis Colts offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.09 seconds per play.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • The Chargers defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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