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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Indianapolis Colts vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+134/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Colts being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projection model to see 131.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Indianapolis Colts to run on 40.9% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Indianapolis Colts this year (a mere 55.2 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • After making up 22.9% of his team's carries last season, Daniel Jones has been less involved in the run game this season, now sitting at just 13.8%.
  • The Texans linebackers project as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

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