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Daniel Jones

Daniel Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects Daniel Jones to accrue 4.9 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-most among all quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -4.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • The Colts rank as the 8th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 36.6% run rate.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Indianapolis Colts are expected by the model to run just 64.2 total plays in this contest: the 8th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Daniel Jones has been a less important option in his offense's ground game this year (14.0% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (22.9%).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers profile as the best unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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