Daniel Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Daniel Jones

NFL · Player Props

Daniel Jones

QB · New York Giants

Carries

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Daniel Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Giants are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 46.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Giants have run the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Daniel Jones to garner 6.9 carries in this game, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
Daniel Jones has been much more involved in his offense's running game this season (41.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (22.2%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The New York Giants offensive line ranks as the 8th-worst in football since the start of last season in run blocking.

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