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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1550/-4200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 139.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Giants have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.

Daniel Bellinger comes in as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in a remarkable 100.0% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 100th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 9th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (45.8% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Daniel Bellinger does not have any receiving touchdowns this year.

Since the start of last season, the stout New Orleans Saints defense has yielded a feeble 69.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.

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