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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Chargers

Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+980/-4300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1500 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4300.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is implied by the Giants being a -6-point underdog in this week's game.

The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Giants since the start of last season (a massive 58.6 per game on average).

The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may go down.

Daniel Bellinger is positioned as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, hauling in an exceptional 100.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Chargers run defense has conceded a measly 0.45 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the smallest rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 8th-least pass-heavy team in the league (59.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the New York Giants are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call only 61.6 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The New York O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

The receiving touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Daniel Bellinger's trading card since the start of last season.

The Los Angeles Chargers defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.15 per game since the start of last season.

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