My Account Log Out
 
 
Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+760/-820).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -540 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -820.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The New York Giants have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
  • Daniel Bellinger has notched significantly more air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).
  • Daniel Bellinger's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 5.2.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Giants ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 8th-most run-oriented team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 47.2% red zone run rate.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 71.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 100.0% rate.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™