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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+850/-1100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -900 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are enormous underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The Giants have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
  • After accruing 4.0 air yards per game last season, Daniel Bellinger has seen marked improvement this season, currently sitting at 19.0 per game.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 12.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 5.2.
  • The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect the Giants to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Daniel Bellinger's sure-handedness have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 100.0% to 72.0%.

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