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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+560/-670).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -640 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -670.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Daniel Bellinger has accumulated many more air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Daniel Bellinger's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 100.0% to 87.0%.

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