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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-195/+150).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The New York Giants have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 5.2.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Giants ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has been torched for the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (79.9%) vs. tight ends this year (79.9%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • With a mere 1.2 adjusted catches per game (24th percentile) this year, Daniel Bellinger stands as one of the weakest tight ends in the pass game in the league.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 71.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 100.0% rate.

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