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Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.

At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.

Right now, the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.

Daniel Bellinger's 13.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 5.2.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.

Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.

Daniel Bellinger's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 100.0% to 87.0%.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of safeties has been very good this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

More Daniel Bellinger Player Props

Daniel Bellinger ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 11