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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+185/-250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a passing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Giants this year (a monstrous 58.9 per game on average).
  • Daniel Bellinger's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 5.2.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Giants ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 52.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 91.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a substantial reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 100.0% mark.

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