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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-114/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a huge 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Giants offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.48 seconds per play.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • Daniel Bellinger has compiled significantly more air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).
  • Daniel Bellinger's 13.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 5.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Giants to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Daniel Bellinger's possession skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 100.0% to 90.9%.
  • With a bad 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Daniel Bellinger stands among the best TE receiving threats in football in space.
  • This year, the fierce Eagles defense has given up a measly 65.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 3rd-smallest rate in the NFL.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. TEs this year, giving up 5.65 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.

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