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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Giants are expected by the model to call 65.7 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The New York Giants have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 60.2 plays per game.
  • Daniel Bellinger has notched significantly more air yards this year (17.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).
  • Daniel Bellinger's 11.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially better this season than it was last season at 5.2.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Giants ranks as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the New York Giants to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 48.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 71.6% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching ability over last year's 100.0% rate.
  • Daniel Bellinger rates as one of the weakest TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 1st percentile.

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