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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New York Giants vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-112/-112).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Giants may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be forced to use backup QB Jameis Winston.
  • At a -7.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are big underdogs this week, indicating much more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 9th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • Daniel Bellinger has accumulated many more air yards this year (20.0 per game) than he did last year (4.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the 5th-least pass-centric offense in the league (58.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New York Giants.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) typically prompt lessened passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Daniel Bellinger's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 100.0% to 87.0%.
  • Daniel Bellinger grades out as one of the weakest TEs in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
  • The Packers defense has allowed the 7th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 44.0) vs. tight ends this year.

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