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Daniel Bellinger

Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Daniel Bellinger Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a passing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Giants this year (a monstrous 58.9 per game on average).
  • Daniel Bellinger has compiled significantly more air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (4.0 per game).
  • Daniel Bellinger's 13.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 5.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 52.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
  • Daniel Bellinger's 91.7% Adjusted Completion Rate this year indicates a substantial reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 100.0% mark.
  • With a lackluster 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Daniel Bellinger rates as one of the leading pass-catching TEs in the NFL in space.

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