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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+152/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -152 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • While D'Andre Swift has earned 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Chicago's passing offense near the goal line in this contest at 7.4%.
  • D'Andre Swift ranks in the 86th percentile for running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with an astounding 19.0 figure this year.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 8th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.60 per game) vs. the Commanders defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When talking about air yards, D'Andre Swift grades out in the paltry 12th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -6.0 per game.
  • D'Andre Swift's 74.5% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects a substantial decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 82.9% figure.
  • D'Andre Swift ranks in the 1st percentile among RBs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a lowly 0.00 per game.
  • With an excellent rate of 0.40 touchdowns on the ground per game (83rd percentile), D'Andre Swift has been as one of the top rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.
  • The Commanders defense has conceded the fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to RBs: 0.00 per game this year.

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