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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are forecasted by the model to run 67.9 total plays in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • D'Andre Swift rates in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a staggering 15.0 figure since the start of last season.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football has been the Chicago Bears.
  • With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target% (1st percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift has been among the pass-game running backs with the smallest workloads near the end zone in the league.
  • D'Andre Swift has garnered a mere -3.6% of his team's air yards this year: just 20th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With an awful rate of just 0.00 per game through the air (1st percentile), D'Andre Swift stands among the worst receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs this year.
  • D'Andre Swift has run for 0.25 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football among RBs (78th percentile).

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