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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 3

Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+130/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -146.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears have been the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 63.6% red zone pass rate.

The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 59.0 plays per game.

While D'Andre Swift has earned 50.0% of his team's red zone carries in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Chicago's running game near the goal line this week at 24.3%.

The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.2 per game) since the start of last season.

D'Andre Swift has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 1st percentile among running backs.

D'Andre Swift's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 83.0% to 73.5%.

The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on D'Andre Swift's player page since the start of last season.

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

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