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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+154/-166).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +138 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +154.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.5 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a colossal 57.3 per game on average).
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chicago Bears as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 8th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (47.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Bears.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean lessened passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.
  • Out of all running backs, D'Andre Swift ranks in the 85th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, taking on 47.0% of the usage in his team's run game near the goal line.
  • D'Andre Swift has been not been very involved his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 1.5% this year, which places him in the 23rd percentile when it comes to running backs.

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