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The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.At the moment, the 8th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (47.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.Among all running backs, D'Andre Swift grades out in the 85th percentile for red zone carries this year, accounting for 47.0% of the usage in his offense's run game near the goal line.With a middling 1.5% Red Zone Target Rate (23rd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the RB receiving threats with the lowest utilization rates near the goal line in football.
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