My Account Log Out
 
 
D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+144/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • At just 28.00 seconds per snap, the Bears offense has been the 6th-quickest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) this year.
  • D'Andre Swift has been in the 78th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 13.9 figure this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 48.1% red zone run rate.
  • Out of all running backs, D'Andre Swift grades out in the 85th percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, making up 46.8% of the volume in his team's run game near the end zone.
  • As it relates to air yards, D'Andre Swift ranks in just the 10th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -4.0 per game.
  • D'Andre Swift's 75.7% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a noteable decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 83.0% mark.
  • D'Andre Swift has rushed for 0.44 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in football when it comes to RBs (85th percentile).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™