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D'Andre Swift Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-270).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -240 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -270.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Bears being an enormous -7-point underdog in this week's contest.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.2 plays per game.

The leading projections forecast D'Andre Swift to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game near the end zone this week (37.1% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (47.4% in games he has played).

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 7th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 48.2% red zone run rate.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased run volume.

With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift stands among the pass-catching RBs with the least usage near the end zone in football.

When talking about air yards, D'Andre Swift ranks in the paltry 19th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -3.0 per game.

D'Andre Swift's 74.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season indicates a significant reduction in his pass-catching skills over last season's 82.9% rate.

More D'Andre Swift Player Props

D'Andre Swift TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

D'Andre Swift Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13