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D'Andre Swift

D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Chicago Bears vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
D'Andre Swift Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (+103/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ +103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The model projects the Bears to be the 3rd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 48.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 140.1 total plays called: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The weatherman calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • In this contest, D'Andre Swift is expected by the predictive model to place in the 90th percentile among running backs with 16.9 rush attempts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a dreadful total of 2.32 yards after contact (5th percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift places as one of the least effective RBs in the NFL.
  • This year, the feeble Saints run defense has been torched for a colossal 4.08 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 24th-worst rate in the league.

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